The Pardu

The Pardu
Watchful eyes and ears feed the brain, thus nourishing the brain cells.

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Affordable Care Act Enrollment 2014/2015




As a dedicated follower of Charles Gaba and his ACASignups website, I pleased and excited with last Friday's chart comparison of ACA sign-ups year one compared enrollments over the same (open enrollment) period year two. while ObamaCare Facts (linked green font below) offers a plethora of information about the ACA, I find Gaba's work regrading Qualified Health Plans and Medicaid/CHIP Enrollment, invaluable

2015 vs. 2014: Where Things Stand 2/3 Through Open Enrollment

I put together a year-over-year overlay 1/3 of the way through open enrollment (right after the 12/15 deadline) and again at around the halfway point, both of which were pretty well-received, so now that we've crossed the 2/3 mark I've done an updated version. 
I was going to use 1/15 as the cut-off date, but since the HHS "weekly snapshots" run through Fridays, I wanted to avoid the confusion of 2 different projection numbers, so I included the extra day to line this up with my 1/16 projection of 9.5 million QHPs even. 
At the 2/3 point last year (around January 9th), total QHP selections were at around 3.7 million, versus the 9.5 million who should have enrolled for 2015 as of Friday night, or almost 2.6x as many. This gap will obviously close quickly once we move into the home stretch, but this period should still end with roughly a 50-60% increase over last year.

Regardless of your thoughts on the ACA a few points standout as irrefutable.  

First, The GOP House of Representatives wasted well over $85 million dollars in frivolous repeal ACA votes over the past three years. Liberals, progressives and independents, African-Americans and Latinos abandon the Democrats this past fall; and they did so with good reason. 

Second, the ACA is reducing healthcare costs in many ways, some of which remain unseen and not understood by the majority of Americans. And, yes there are detractors regarding the ACA's impact on healthcare cost. In fairness, I have linked a Fact Check Dot Org piece, here. Existentially, were the ACA not law, reductions in healthcare cost be a reality. Would such reductions have come about, and if so how and why?

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