The Pardu

The Pardu
Watchful eyes and ears feed the brain, thus nourishing the brain cells.

Monday, August 15, 2016

Trump, The Polls, And Three Weeks Till Labor Day

Trump actually continued to rail about "the polls' as long as he faced other GOP hopefuls. He may have on occasion mentioned the polls as he moved away from the Primaries, but rest assured the "the polls" refrain has been scant from the lips of the New York City bloviator. 

Trump once stated he may leave the race should he start to slip in the polls. Of course, "leave the race" was carnival barking to drive sycophant supporters out to vote. But, there is the prospect the carnival barking Trump can not stomach that thought of losing the race in November. Time will tell, but you may have noticed Trumps' offspring are not appearing on camera these days and you certainly haven't heard the word "polls" from Trump's mouth. 

The Five Thirty-Eight Blog posted a caution to all media about early exuberance and counter chagrin regarding the early polls. The message was, in essence, it is too early to consider 2015 polling relevant.

Let's take a quick journey through the reasons for Trump's aversion to "the polls."  Our journey has to start with trump's number one spokesperson incompetent: Katrina Pierson. 

"..forget the polls, Trump has huge crowds." Well, yes he is a celebrity, and some of those in the audience may complete polls with expressions of no interest in a Trump vote 

https://youtu.be/qRFgouE9WW0


All national polling shows Clinton holding various percentage leads over Donald Trump. The polling data speaks volumes as to why Trump hasn;t uttered the words "the polls" for many weeks (maybe even months).  Trum[p in his inimitable way could help but rub "the poll's in the faced of his 17 Gop primary candidates while failing to realize once, outside the GOP far right base, polling would swing moderately. The moderate swing took place the June party conventions and after the events that moderate swing trended towards double digit polling numbers across the nation.

Why do Republicans so often fail to realize braggadocio for a period could very well equal heartbreak during subsequent periods?  Sir Isaac Newton put it best.

It takes a small thinker who lacks any sense of 'things to come' to fall into the fact of reality and its pendulum swings. Trump certain bit into the proverbial apple, and no he can't utter the words "the polls."  But, never fail, all republicans can rest assured rightwing media and social media will come tot he rescue.  Breitbart dot com undertook a poll to refute all national polling showing their candidate trailing as if a chemtrail from a high flying jet.









Breitbart editor-in-chief Alex Marlow explained in a statement accompanying the survey that the site would launch its own series of polls to provide “an accurate assessment” of the 2016 race. 
“It’s an open secret that polls are often manipulated and spun to create momentum for a particular candidate or issue,” Marlow said. “Breitbart News Network’s first national poll marks the start of a major initiative to give our readers an accurate assessment on where the American people stand on the key topics and people of the day — without the mainstream media filter.”

Let's do that last sentence again.
“Breitbart News Network’s first national poll marks the start of a major initiative to give our readers an accurate assessment on where the American people stand on the key topics and people of the day — without the mainstream media filter.”
Even Breitbart should have know better. 

The writers and  editors at Breitbart worked as if overheated Beavers to spin the survey results for a good showing from Trump, but the bottom-line effort to refute mainstream media (As Breitbart call3es it) polling data.  

Breitbart dot com excerpt:
Democratic nominee Hillary R. Clinton leads in a four-way contest with 42 percent of the vote, compared to Donald J. Trump with 37 percent, Libertarian Gary Johnson with 9 percent, and 3 percent for Green Party nominee Dr. Jill Stein, according to a Breitbart/Gravis national poll conducted Aug. 9 with 2,832 likely voters.
The remainder of the piece is linked here. If you decide to read the rest of the piece be prepared for a great deal of Breitbart spin. 

Rather than expend time sorting through various polls and posting graphics some find abhorrent, let's defer to posting links with various perspectives on Trump Vs Hillary Clinton polling.

You Gov cbs-battleground-florida-georgia-new-hampshire/

NBC News election/four-takeaways-latest-battleground-polls-n629536


Syracuse dot com ny_poll_hillary_clinton_surges_to_30-point_lead_over_donald_trump.html



US News donald-trumps-loss-in-november-is-written-in-the-polls


NBC News clinton-surges-past-270-electoral-votes-nbc-news-battleground-map-n630851


We are reading and hearing reliable polling is still weeks away. Well, we have moved to the middle of August with GOP and print media editors giving Trump until Labor Day to turn things around. It should be noted Labor Days is a mere three weeks away. Is there a sane person who may read this who actually believes Trump will enact a turnaround in the next three weeks?




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