The Pardu

The Pardu
Watchful eyes and ears feed the brain, thus nourishing the brain cells.

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Polling, Polling and Polling....What Is A Person To Believe?

Polling, polling and polling

Since the early 2000s, political polling has become as common as breakfast, lunch and dinner for many Americans. How many times have your heard the words, "A majority of Americans poll at....."

Polling has grown to a key source of gauging public opinion, but it is also a tool for ideology operatives via polling authority who work towards validating or promulgating political strategy.

In 2014, we went on a tear regarding a particular polling authority: AP/GfK.  The link (below) highlighted in red in particularly salient regarding polling. 

  • AP/GfK Polls Have Fetidness Of A Right-wing Survey Authority
    Apr 6, 2014 ... The AP/GfK website links above are full of survey results detrimental to the Obama Administration the ACA and all things progressive. In fact ...
  • The Progressive Influence: AP/GfK: Flawed And Conservative ...
    Mar 29, 2014 ... AP/GfK via an online survey of just over 1,012 adults, reports only 26% of respondents "support" The ACA (AKA ObamaCare). Not only are the ...
  • The Progressive Influence: Fact Check ...Obama's Numbers June ...
    Jul 4, 2014 ... One of the worst and most right leaning US polls, AP/GFK, posted poll results just before the 2012 General Elections. Media grabbed the polling ...
  • The Progressive Influence: March 2014
    Mar 1, 2014 ... AP/GfK via an online survey of just over 1,012 adults, reports only 26% of respondents "support" The ACA (AKA ObamaCare). Not only are the ...

My reason for tearing after AP/GfK was due to a survey poll headline just before the 2012 general election. If you followed the red link above you know the impetus foe my research. The headline of "Majority harbor prejudice against Blacks," led to validation of the importance of survey too methodology and demographics. I believe I also recall GfK may have been founded in 2008. Now, what took place in 2008 that may have driven impetus for a survey too that surveys to the Right

All of the above aside, we are posting this piece based on the directly diametrically opposite a set of results from two recent polls. AP/GfK is not part of this post; GfK was noteworthy in delineating flaws in polling that the less inquisitive will accept without question, thus handing political operatives a propaganda victory.

For this report the two chosen polls included an inquiry about the Iran Nuclear Deal. While the Quinnipiac poll was conducted among a survey respondent group twice the size of the Center for International and Security Studies poll, the latter poll was conducted with far deeper detail regarding the deal (in and of itself).

Referenced polls
Quinnipiac University (1563 respondents; August 17-20) 
Center for International and Security Studies At Maryland (702 respondents; August 20-25)
The fastidious point of discerning between the two surveys and respective results is the fact the results on the Iran deal came-in 180 degree different.

Washington Free Beacon

Poll: Voters Oppose Iran Deal by 2-to-1 Margin

By: Jenna Lifhits
August 31, 2015

A majority of voters oppose the Iran Deal and said they think that it would make the world a less safe place, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll conducted last week.
55% against,  25% support the deal.

Huffington Post

Poll shows majority wants Congress to approve Iran deal

A new survey shows a majority of Americans wants Congress to uphold the Obama administration’s nuclear deal with Iran.

According to the survey from the University of Maryland,

55 percent of respondents said Congress should get behind the agreement....23 percent, lawmakers should instead ratchet up sanctions....
14 percent wanted U.S. officials to go back to the negotiating table....
Now, that President Obama has secured commitments from enough Senate Democrats to eliminate the prospect of Senatorial procedures to kill the deal, what the hell is actual public sentiment regrading the deal?

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