The Pardu

The Pardu
Watchful eyes and ears feed the brain, thus nourishing the brain cells.
Showing posts with label Steve Benen. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Steve Benen. Show all posts

Sunday, May 13, 2018

As Trump's World Turns: Lying To Military Families? How About 3.9% Unemployment?

Check out this CNN Headline:

Trump misleads about military pay raises


When media reports on Trump's daily lies via headlines which fall well shy of the full scope of Trump's words, media enables Trumpism.  Trump doesn't mislead; Trump lies, and he does so as a matter of fact as he breathes. 

Over the course of the week leading up to Mother's Day, Trump offered a shameful lie to military mothers and military families.

We sought a shorter version of the Trump and wife charade which follows, but we are forced to post this 10-minute version. The version captures opening remarks from Trump's wife while setting the stage for the supreme carnival barker equipped to ready-to-roll lies about military pay increases.  

Utter over-the-top lies which could not have been offered with support from the Defense Department. 

As you would expect Trump's "Man in the House", Paul Ryan, joined in the charade. Well, actually Ryan attempted to fix the Trump lie with a quick tweet with fats regarding the Trump statement. 
Proud to watch as @POTUS signs this legislation into law, giving our men and women in uniform their largest pay raise in 8 years.
The facts are: the US military troops and families have received one percent increases every year for the past 30 years. The 2018 2.4 percent increase is the largest increase in the past eight years.

Let's spend a few minutes with Politifact vi Tulsa World dot com.


Says the 2018 defense authorization bill includes raises for the military "for the first time in 10 years."

— President Donald Trump.

Here is a link to the full Tulsa World dot com (Politifact) piece.

Will the nation ever grow tried of Trumps daily lies or we becoming desensitized and accommodating regarding the lies?

While on the topic of "misleading" we all witnessed the perfect example of Trump misleading the nation via comments following the April Jobs Report. Trump and his Chief of Staff along with every Trump talking head CNN has on contributor contract played fast and loose with the 3.9% unemployment rate. The lowest unemployment rate since prior to the Bush Administration noteworthy to put it mildly. The subterfuge comes forth when the April figures are tossed around like a badge of praise without acknowledgment of how the rate is now compared to the rate in early 2009. 

Take a quick look at how the post-Bush Sub Prime Bubble resulted in increased unemployment.

Image result

A glance at job losses after the Sub Prime Bubble burst.

Image result for us job losses  2008

From the two charts until Trump was inaugurated something about US History took place which led to an improved US economy and a cessation of Job losses at 450K to 750K per month. The Obama Economy ran for virtually eight years commencing with the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (The Stimulus)

Before we move to dealing with Trump's rhetoric regarding the 3.9% unemployment rate, we should remind ourselves the GOP member of Congress almost tot he seat were against the Stimulus. The request for $1.2 trillion in Stimulus funding was cut to $800 million before passing into law mostly due to GOP resistance to the measure.

Since the day of the April Jobs Report release, Trump and his cadre of talking heads have bantered the 3.9% as if solely responsible for the improved numbers.

As the Obama Administration whittled away at the Bush economy and thousands of monthly job losses. Trump over the full course of the Obama Years peppered us with remarks meant to deflate the significance of an improving economy. Steve Benen recently published a piece regarding Trump and the April Jobs numbers, but first, let's remind ourselves of how Trump would comment when he heard or read good job numbers via Obama.
Time magazine this week:
“We have a real unemployment rate that’s probably 21%. It’s not 6. It’s not 5.2 and 5.5. Our real unemployment rate – in fact, I saw a chart the other day, our real unemployment – because you have ninety million people that aren’t working. Ninety-three million to be exact. If you start adding it up, our real unemployment rate is 42%.”
Benen's piece included the following chart.  We have also excerpted a few paragraphs from the piece. It wouldn't be possible for Trump to banter the unemployment rate during his 16 months in office without significant trending (often drastic trending) from Obama's policies and subsequent economic improvement.
MSNBC's The Rachel Maddow Blog
WHY: President Donald J. Trump’s historic tax cuts, deregulation, and pro-growth policies are creating jobs and restoring confidence in America’s economy.
There are a few relevant angles to this. First, a 3.9% unemployment rate is great news for the country and American workers, though the metric does come with some caveats. For example, the rate’s most recent drop was the result of discouraging developments, not encouraging ones.
Second, and more important, is the fact that Trump claiming credit for the news is a stretch. This is a great example of someone being born on third base and thinking they hit a triple: the jobless rate has been steadily declining since President Obama ended the Great Recession in his first term. It’s great that the trend has continued over the year and a half Trump has been in office, but no one should try to make the case that the Republicans’ tax breaks and deregulation crusade are somehow responsible for creating the trend that began in 2010.
Or put another way, looking at the above chart, Trump would have Americans believe he deserves credit for the red line, but his predecessor deserves no credit for the blue line. It’s a tough sell.

As  Trump's World Turns: The lie as part of everyday life. StumbleUpon

Friday, October 6, 2017

September Job Numbers

Image result for trump the marionetteer
Did you fall for his?
According to MSNBC's Steve Benen, American Presidents receive a preliminary peep at moth to month job numbers just before the numbers are published n the first Friday of each month. It seems the nation's 45th President received that peep on yesterday and responded in typical Trump manner. He attempted to get out ahead of the poor jobs report by posting a tweet about the US stock market performance.
Positive spins aren't  the sole domain of Trump. All and every president did or would do same. In fairness, the US stock market is continuing its stellar performance.

The numbers, however, mark the end of consecutive months of jobs growth attributable to the Obama administration; 72 consecutive months of Jobs growth between late 2010 and 2016. Since the Trump administration hasn't initiated any economic policy measures, the Obama should receive due credit for handing over an economy which continues to boom. Well, boom" until September 2017.

The following chart is an excerpt from the Rachel Maddow Blog (link)  and complied from Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly Jobs data. We should also point out the unemployment rate lowered to 4.2 percent.

Democrat Party consultant also tweeted regarding the September Jobs Numbers. Boykin post points related to Trump's first major monthly jobs flop, and the inevitable comparison to Obama's jobs performance. One other factor, Boykin is thoughtful enough to also make the point that Obama also administered an economy through a national crisis, including Hurricane Sandy.

Keith Boykin‏
@keithboykin 4h

US job growth in the first 9 months of:

2011: 1.53m 
2012: 1.62m 
2013: 1.79m
2017: 1.33m
2014: 2.20m 
2015: 1.88m 
2016: 1.79m

Neither Benen nor Boykin can accurate address the "whys" of the job losses. However, Benen makes a fair cases that despite viewing the data from various perspectives the job losses fell well short of expectations.

The Trump tweet regarding continued significant stock market growth  doesn't adequately masked the reality of what could be a real danger sign for the US economy.


Monday, June 5, 2017

Gallup On Trump (June 3, 2017)

Have you noticed the nation's 45th president and official poll lover hasn't mentioned the word "polls" since just after his electoral college false win last November?


With Trump's approval dropping to 36% in Gallup, last week's anti-climate move wasn't just a policy disaster. It was politically unwise, too

CNN reports with Gallup as a basis for comment.

Any wonder?

Tuesday, December 13, 2016

The Daily GOP Ignominious: America Attacked By Russian Hackers; Many Conservatives Unconcerned

As we become more informed about the CIA report of Prussian hacking the DNC and politicking Democrats on behalf of Donald Trump (and you Trump supporters), let history archive clear warnings from Trump's 2016 electoral opponent. The following video segments are taken from two of the three presidential debates. It seems Clinton knew her stuff and offered rational arguments about what is amounting to a form of international espionage/treason from a political party.  Let's face the reality Trump's camp knew of Putin's feeds to Julian Assange (WIKI) and it is becoming increasingly apparent so did FBI Director Comey.

From Debate #3

Fair warning unheeded; the Media didn't care, the public didn't listen and the espionage not only continued, it worked.

How is it possible unprecedented cooperation between a national economic and military adversary could become mainstream politics?

Prior to the debates Trump openly encouraged Putin to hack his political opponent.

Correction, Trump actually encouraged Putin to attack the United States, the American people (those who remain sane and rational) and the free world. He further boldly stated the US media would welcome the hacking. The CIA assessment of Russian hacking the 2016 election as straight forward as its mission on international INTEL and counter-INTEL. While a number of sources are published regarding the CIA assessment, we find this New York Times piece particularly noteworthy. It should be noted the piece also includes verbiage related to Russian hacking of the RNC (also)...but notice no Wiki release of hacked info from republican servers and email.

What price American sovereignty conservative America?  A White House take on Trump's international cyber army (from Russia).

American conservatives have since the election of Barack Obama as the 44th President of the United States has nurtured an affinity for Vladimir Putin comparable to its historic affinity for those some Americans refer to as Founding Fathers.  Yet even the most skeptical among liberals and progressives failed to realize the level to which America would turn its discerning minds to the "off' position when it came to the Right "taking our country back." MSNBC's The Rachel Maddow Blog (via Steve Benen) has published an intriguing and enlightening review of one year of Putin/Trump, their paths, and adjoining points.  And, you may be one of the millions who cast that Trump vote. Moreover, you may be one of the thousands who feel Putin helped you win a US election. What you are about to read should you click the link, shouldn't be viewed by anyone under age 18, who may still have faith in the US political system. or who's parents may be raising the as conservatives. TRMS Blog, linked.

The Benen piece was a mere prelude to a report from the Maddow show (last night), from Newsweek's Kurt Eichenwald. As you view the rather long segment, a question should arise: "What in the American psyche has contributed to so many who have wantonly turned the nation over to a money-grabbing potential fascist?

From Trump advise Manafort through the stories of hacking to the Eisenwald piece, the US finally held the election from hell. And, guess who we elected?

Sunday, May 15, 2016

Unemployment Has Gone UP Under Obama? Some Believe The Hype

Take a moment to review a chart published by Steven Benen for the Rachel Maddow blog. The chart was delivered from the results of a recent Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey. The survey results show major differences in respondent perceptions of a critical aspect of the US Economy: unemployment and jobs. 

The PPP survey delineates the sad state of conservative information dissemination or conservative manipulation of large swaths of the US population.  


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 11, 2016 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

There continues to be a lot of misinformation about what has happened during Obama's time in office. 43% of voters think the unemployment rate has increased while Obama has been President, to only 49% who correctly recognize that it has decreased. And 32% of voters think the stock market has gone down during the Obama administration, to only 52% who correctly recognize that it has gone up. In both cases Democrats and independents are correct in their understanding of how things have changed since Obama became President, but Republicans claim by a 64/27 spread that unemployment has increased and by a 57/27 spread that the stock market has gone down. “It’s a fact that unemployment has gone down and the stock market has gone up during the Obama administration,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But GOP voters treat these things more as issues of opinion than issues of fact.”

Q2 Do you think the unemployment rate has increased or decreased since Barack Obama became President? 
43% The unemployment rate has increased since Barack Obama became President
49% The unemployment rate has decreased since Barack Obama became President
 9% Not sure

How is it possible so may have no idea the full measure and scope of an economy that has added 15 million (rounded) jobs? Are so busy seeking television giggles and following reality TV shows or singing contest shows, we live oblivious to that which is critical to our lives?  Are survey respondents who declared as republican getting their news from outlets such as Fox News and Am radio? 

Conservative media and conservative politicians have performed as masters of deceit in salting the minds of millions with the dire state of the US. It seems, however, either more non-conservatives are paying attention to conservative media (and the GOP) or millions upon millions are busying themselves with superfluous lifestyles, we can not sit for a moment to absorb tidbits of current events and news. As bad as US media has become, there are moments of factual information dissemination if you are a non-Fox News viewer. Yet the current political season shows overwhelming evidence of nitty hammer like behavior across the political spectrum.

The PPP poll also reports survey respondent  demographics which are troubling, to put it mildly. (see survey methodology and demographic data below). 

-78% of voters nationally support increasing the minimum wage to at least $10 an hour, and 49% support going to at least $12 an hour. Only 10% think the current minimum wage
is fine, and another 10% think there should be no minimum wage at all. 95% of Democrats, 69% of independents, and 61% of Republicans support a hike at least to $10 an hour.
Q3 Do you think the stock market has gone up or down since Barack Obama became President? 
52% The stock market has gone up since Barack Obama became President
32% The stock market has gone down since Barack Obama became President
16% Not sure

 -83% of voters nationally support background checks on all gun sales, to just 12% who are opposed. There's very broad bipartisan support for that with Democrats (89/9), Republicans (79/14), and independents (78/14) all overwhelmingly in favor of it, -68% of voters support the EPA Clean Power Plan to 26% who are opposed. That includes 65/29 support from pivotal independent voters.
Q9 Do you support or oppose requiring a criminal background check of every person who wants to buy a firearm?
83% Support a criminal background check for everyone who wants to buy a firearm
12% Oppose a criminal background check for everyone who wants to buy a firearm
 Not sure
Survey methodology and demographic questions.

Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,222 registered voters from May 6th to 9th. The margin of error is +/-3.2%. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel. 

Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?  
Very liberal..............................................  14%  
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 21%  
Moderate  ..................................................................29%  
Somewhat conservative  .................................21% 
Very conservative  .....................................15%

The bell-shaped distribution of the sociopolitical makeup of the sampling is representative of a fair application of the survey tool. 
Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman 53% Man 47% . 
Again a representative sample which fairly portrays national gender demographics.  
Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. 
Democrat 43% ........................................................  
Republican 36% ......................................................   
21% Independent / Other........................................  
Herein lies what I refer to as troubling. Only just over a third of the sampling indicates Republican. Even if we consider the prospect of a few "crafty" respondents who would declare themselves IND. knowing full-well they are Republicans, we may still find approximately one-third of the pool offering the PPP findings.
Q18 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. . If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.  
Hispanic 10% ..........................................................  
White 70% ..............................................................  
African American 12% .............................................  
Other 8% 

Another fair distribution considering current US population racial breakdowns.

How is it possible so many supposed progressive or independents have a little knowledge of the state of US employment?  The answer may lie in the same cesspool that has Trump atop the GOP presidential race. Basically, people are self-dumbing themselves into a dangerous state.

While the US economy is not rolling along like a pending tsunami wave, it is a far better economy than we experienced prior to President Obama. While republicans surely have a greater information void and false beliefs regarding the unemployment figures, overall the PPL survey is disturbing. The survey may show the failings of US cable media in failing to deliver accurate and relevant information vs entertainment segments which dominate with each and every cable news show.

Even more tragic is the prospect many of the 1200 plus respondents may not follow any form of news or currents events or they are influenced by conservative media even in the case of non-conservative respondents. 


Saturday, January 9, 2016

December 2015 Jobs Report And A Reminder Of Dem Vs. GOP Job Creation

Job Growth anyone?

MSNBC's Steve Benen start his news day off with a review of and reminder of US job growth.

The nation ended the year with what some are calling a "cork popping" jobs picture. Benen runs with a piece from which I extracted a few tidbits.

Many economists predicted the U.S. job market would end 2015 on a strong note, but few expected it to be this strong.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning that the U.S. economy added 292,000 jobs in December, well above projections. The overall unemployment rate remained at 5.0%, which is still the lowest it’s been since February 2008, nearly eight years ago. 

Making matters even better, the revisions were also heartening: October’s job totals were revised up, from 298,000 to 307,000, while November’s totals were also revised up, from 211,000 to 252,000. Combined, that’s an additional 50,000 previously unreported jobs.

Benen's continuing look at Private Sector Job Growth:
Read more linked above.

In a later post, Benen took his review here:

Even the right can’t deny job market’s hot streak

It is truly amazing any sane American would actually consider voting GOP in the coming General Election when faced with jobs reports as such.

January 8, 2016

As you worked your way through the jobs graphics, you thoughts probably reached to the common naysayer points that follow each and every positive jobs report.

Business Insider provided the naysayer platform this month. We certainly do not dismiss the following economic considerations, but we do consider the glass half full notion of what the naysayers would say with jobs reports as indicated via the red bars in the White House chart (above). 

I offer the very unqualified posit that as long as American executives (CEOs. management teams et al) are so handsomely remunerated, in some cases regardless of company performance, Participation Rates and Wage Growth will remain stagnate.

Since we started this piece with a review of December job growth, we will end with a link to a piece that drives home our point about voting GOP. Linked here.

And,a final slice of the Jobs "cake" from Bloomberg. Linked here.

Friday, October 23, 2015

The Daily GOP Ignominious: The Benghazi (Get Hillary) Committee Stumbles Along Like The Keystone Cops

Mission NOT Accomplished!

Yes, while working on an item I was afforded the opportunity to listen and occasionally peep up at the 11 hour "Get Hillary" Benghazi Select Committee charade. The hours were probably the most embarrassing exercise from the GOP since their 55 attempts to repeal the Patient Protection Affordable Care Act ($90 plus million Budget hit) and it foretold a party without a winning platform for 2016.  

Some writers are keyboarding about the almost universal reaction to the 11-hour charade.  The common sentiment is, The seven GOP hit operatives didn't fluster nor damage Hillary as a candidate: their ultimate goal.

Steve Benen, The Rachel Maddow Blog, published a short read detailed piece inclusive of reaction from a few on the Right.  

Nearly everyone who saw this ignominious display – left, right, and center – agreed that congressional Republicans had an opportunity to advance their cause, but they blew it. Bloomberg Politics reported:

To hear Republicans tell it, a series of unfortunate events culminated in a rough day Thursday for the House Benghazi committee, leaving conservatives to wonder if they’ve lost their most potent political weapon against Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton. […] 
Among House Republicans, there were no high-fives: A half-dozen lawmakers surveyed offered a muted response when asked about the hearing on Thursday afternoon. Many conservative commentators were unimpressed, if not angry with the proceedings. 
At one point, during Rep. Mike Pompeo’s (R-Kan.) attempt to badger Clinton, John Podhoretz, a prominent conservative writer and former Republican speechwriter,said on Twitter, “Why doesn’t Pompeo just go over and swear her in for president now – if he goes on like this he’ll practically get her elected.” 
It was that kind of day for Republicans. 
Podhoretz’s concerns were surprisingly common among conservatives. Erick Erickson lamented the fact that the hearing proved to be a “waste of time.” The Washington Examiner’s Byron York characterized the hearing as “very, very good news for Hillary Clinton.” 
The Daily Caller’s Matt Lewis wrote midday, “Unless something happens, it’s starting to look like Hillary Clinton won’t merely survive this hearing – she will have come out on top.” Hot Air’s Jazz Shaw said, “This hearing is turning into a disaster on wheels,” adding, “Jesus, I spend half my day criticizing Hillary Clinton and even I find this set of questions embarrassing.”
End Benen excerpt
Of course, two GOP 2016 candidates reacted to the day with typical GOP false reality. I won't post their reactions here.  Google will find them for you, but know that Rubio and Bush commented about Hillary's performance in a most typical ad expected manner. Rubio should seek an opportunity to cast a Senate vote to wash away growing scrutiny of his virtual total absence from matters of governance after announcing his intent to run for the GOP nomination. 

Bush continues to show he lives without access to state-of-the-art electronic communication tools and he obviously has advisers who live via The Drudge Report and AM talk radio. He is so out of touch he embarrasses all Americans.

Let's end with a few post from that land of the conservative high-end baby boomer heaven: Mediaite.  It seems even Mediate developers were forced to the reality of GOP strategy that failed.
Many Americans, even Republicans, think the Benghazi hearings are purely political.
Posted by Mediaite on Thursday, October 22, 2015
CNN analyst doesn't understand the GOP's "obsession" with Sidney Blumenthal at Benghazi hearing.
Posted by Mediaite on Thursday, October 22, 2015
Hillary Clinton and Trey Gowdy go at it.
Posted by Mediaite on Thursday, October 22, 2015
The following is a short rant from the Select Committee Ranking Member, Elijah Cummings (D-MD). I have posted the rant, not for bias (homer) lauding of a progressive reaction to the 11-hour charade, I post if for far less flattering reasons. Cummings vilified the state of US politics with implications of shameful acts from the Right. He often states, "This is not what we are about", or "This is not what America is about." Well, it has come to me, this is what America the GOP is about.  We no longer live in ties of political cooperative opposition. We have entered an era of irrational political opposition and regressive national molding from the Right. 

I admire the Senior Congressman from Maryland, but his often spoke refrain needs a tweak to the reality of America Circa 2015.

How about a reaction from the Select Committee Chair.

As I think of the latest example of GOP politics at our expense ($5 million Select Committee cost) I think of this 28-second clip


Wednesday, January 14, 2015

GOP 2015 Primary Parade (Charade): Rand Paul

When the surrounding environment changes, this guy changes his colors to blend and match. The guy imaged below who also changes his colors.  Rand Paul figuratively changes his colors to attract attention and to capture the minds of the gullible: to blend and match

Rand Paul's latest issue...his claims of people "gaming" the disability systems and securing unwarranted benefits. Paul is erecting the classic GOP slippery slope: fabricate an issue, attack it, turn votes on it and consequently people suffer. Classic GOP.... Now watch social media as Fox News and ravishing conservative sycophants pick-up the issue and run with it like Forrest Gump.

MSNBC's Steve Benen captured the Nascent Paul moment. As is always the case with Benen, he leveled facts and data at the Paul "issue." The candidates 'false' issue crumbles under the slightest of scrutiny. As you read the introduction to the Benen piece (below), take a look at the eyes of the subject in the image.

Do you notice something about the visual?

U.S. Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), a 2016 Republican White House hopeful, speaks to a group of state legislators at Murphy's Diner in Manchester, New Hampshire on Jan. 14, 2015. (Photo by Brian Snyder/Reuters)

U.S. Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), a 2016 Republican White House hopeful, speaks to a group of state legislators at Murphy's Diner in Manchester, New Hampshire on Jan. 14, 2015. 

Brian Snyder/Reuters

Do you recognize the visual?


Rand Paul takes on disability claims

Of all the people Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) could have complained about, he picked people who receive disability benefits?

Actually, yes. At an event in New Hampshire this morning, the unannounced presidential candidate suggested many Americans who rely on disability insurance don’t actually deserve it.
“The thing is, in all of these programs there’s always somebody who’s deserving, but everybody in this room knows somebody who is gaming the system.  

“What I tell people is, if you look like me and you hop out of your truck, you shouldn’t be getting your disability check. Over half of the people on disability are either anxious or their back hurts.  

Join the club. Who doesn’t get up a little anxious for work every day and their back hurts? Everybody over 40 has a little back pain.”
Let’s unpack this a bit. First, the Republican senator’s statistics appear to be off – as the Huffington Post reported, “In its latest annual report, the Social Security Administration says 14 percent of disability beneficiaries suffered ‘mood disorders’ and 27.7 percent had diseases of the musculoskeletal system or connective tissue, which would include back pain.”

But more important is the implicit argument that Americans on disability are committing some degree of fraud, “gaming the system,” and receiving benefits they do not deserve.

And on this point, Rand Paul doesn’t seem to know what he’s talking about.

Read more here

Paul knows the issue will resonate. It will not resonate due to empirical data from research nor archived data. It will resonate with the target GOP 2016 Primary voter because it touches that conservative paradigm regarding "takers." No one exemplifies the mindset better than Mitt Romney via his 47% Boca Raton high-end per plate remarks!

Paul, the consummate chameleon, will ride his newly discovered 'false issue', as far as it will take him into this year's GOP nomination scrums.

If you are receiving any form of disability payment, you may find Paul's political ploy reprehensible. Often campaign issues via the GOP tend to turn on those who benefit most from programs they use as fodder for primary voters. Paul dare not take his disability payments abuse issue into the General election should the GOP lower itself to a nomination of the plagiarizing, bigoted Senator from Kentucky.