The Economist has published a You/Gov poll which is a comprehensive set of polling regarding the Trump administration and matters critical to current events in the United States. The poll was published via a pdf document and covers 385 pages (including methodology information embedded in the box below.
The Economist/YouGov Poll
September 23 - 25, 2018
1500 US Adults
Sponsorship The Economist
Fieldwork YouGov
Interviewing Dates September 23 - 25, 2018
Target population US Adult Population
Sampling method:
Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2014 American Community Study. Voter registration was imputed from the November 2014 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement.
Weighting:
The sample was weighted based on gender, age, race, education, and 2016
Presidential vote (or non-vote).
The weights range from 0.271 to 4.091, with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.557.
Number of respondents 1500
1238 (Registered voters)
Margin of error ± 2.9% (adjusted for weighting) ± 2.9% (Registered voters) Survey mode Web-based interviews Questions not reported 29 questions not reported.
As stated above the poll result are extensive. We have focused on one issue related to current political issues which have the attention of millions across America: Brett Kavanaugh and Donald Trump.
Actually, we page copied and paste below a stark and reveal page from the survey YouGov found 55% of the survey respondents who identified as "GOP simply do not care if Kavanagh has sexually assaulted a girl or woman during the course of his life.
The survey was performed with 1500 respondents (1238 Registered voters) while it was an "Online" Poll.
YouGov is a favored poll. while it sits just to the Left of neutral regarding bias, YouGov consistent ranks towards the high end of preferred and reliable polling.
As is our practice whenever we post regarding polling we ink to The 538 Blog and its survey Reliability data. YouGov received a "B" Rating following its polling leading up to the 2016 General Election. In May of this year, 538 published "Most Trusted in Polling" results.
Below we posted a table from the "Most Trusted" article. While a bit of reading is involved we highly encourage you to read a few paragraphs which preceded the image table (below).
How prolific pollsters have fared in recent elections
Advanced Plus-Minus scores for pollsters’ surveys conducted for elections on Nov. 8, 2016, and later
POLLSTER | METHODOLOGY | NO. OF POLLS | AVG. ERROR | ADVANCED PLUS-MINUS | BIAS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | Live | 24 | 4.8 | -1.5 | D+3.9 |
Emerson College | IVR | 51 | 4.1 | -1.0 | D+1.2 |
Siena College | Live | 18 | 4.0 | -0.9 | D+1.5 |
Landmark Communications | IVR/online | 14 | 4.4 | -0.6 | D+4.3 |
Marist College | Live | 17 | 3.7 | -0.6 | D+1.5 |
Lucid | Online | 14 | 2.6 | -0.4 | D+2.4 |
SurveyUSA | IVR/online/live | 18 | 4.5 | -0.2 | D+1.0 |
Trafalgar Group | IVR/online/live | 15 | 4.0 | -0.1 | R+0.8 |
YouGov | Online | 33 | 4.3 | +0.0 | D+2.8 |
Opinion Savvy | IVR/online | 11 | 4.3 | +0.1 | D+2.8 |
Quinnipiac University | Live | 26 | 4.4 | +0.1 | D+4.2 |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | IVR/online | 55 | 5.1 | +0.4 | D+3.6 |
CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | Live | 10 | 4.3 | +0.6 | D+1.4 |
Gravis Marketing | IVR/online | 53 | 4.6 | +0.7 | D+2.5 |
Remington Research Group | IVR/live | 32 | 4.9 | +0.8 | D+2.1 |
Public Policy Polling | IVR/online | 28 | 5.2 | +1.0 | D+5.2 |
SurveyMonkey | Online | 195 | 7.3 | +2.3 | D+5.6 |
University of New Hampshire | Live | 19 | 8.9 | +3.4 | D+8.9 |
Google Surveys | Online | 12 | 8.4 | +5.0 | D+1.8 |
What does it all mean? As Trump's SCOTUS pick, Kavanaugh, develops 55% for those who ID'd as GOP don't give a damn if the Judge molested Dr. Ford.
All things considered, respondents among 1500 (or 1238) who have party affiliation with the GOP, echoed 2016 polling data two days after the 2016 elections.
NOTE: The following formatting has been left intact to ensure full viewing.
538
NOTE: The following formatting has been left intact to ensure full viewing.
538
Hillary Clinton
DEMOCRAT
Donald J. Trump
REPUBLICAN
Change from 2012*
Reality is reality and the messages from the various polls and surveys isn't a pretty picture for conservative America. Do they really not care if a man has, in his past, committed sexual abuse?
Reliable and unbiased survey data doesn't impart a lie.
Reliable and unbiased survey data doesn't impart a lie.